The Persistence of the Accruals Anomaly
ثبت نشده
چکیده
The accruals anomaly—the negative relationship between accounting accruals and subsequent stock returns—has been well documented in the academic and practitioner literatures for almost a decade. To the extent that this anomaly represents market inefficiency, one would expect sophisticated investors to learn about it and arbitrage the anomaly away. Yet, we show that the accruals anomaly still persists and even more strikingly—its magnitude has not declined over time. How can this be explained? We show that the accruals anomaly is recognized and indeed exploited by certain active institutional investors, but the magnitude of this accrualsrelated trading is rather small. By and large, institutions shy away from extreme accruals firms because their attributes, such as small size, low profitability and high risk stand in stark contrast to those preferred by most institutions. Individual investors, too, are by and large unable to profit from trading on accruals information due to the high information and transaction costs associated with implementing a consistently profitable accruals strategy. Consequently, the accruals anomaly persists, and will probably endure.
منابع مشابه
The Accrual Anomaly: International Evidence
We investigate whether the accruals anomaly (Sloan 1996), characterized by U.S. stock prices over-weighting the role of accrual persistence and under-weighting the role of operating cash flow persistence for future earnings, is a local manifestation of a global phenomenon. Hence, we examine whether stock prices in six other major capital markets and Japan) fully reflect the implications of the ...
متن کاملInter-temporal Accrual Persistence and Accrual Anomaly
Prior accounting research argues that diminishing marginal returns on new investments drive lower persistence of accruals relative to cash flows. Macroeconomic research documents that marginal profitability is counter-cyclical, which implies that diminishing marginal returns on new investments are more pronounced during periods of expansions than recessions. Linking the cyclicality of diminishi...
متن کاملHow do investors estimate persistence of accruals?
Stock prices reflect persistence differences across a wide range of accrual types that are categorized in Richardson, Sloan, Soliman, and Tuna (Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2005). Moreover, stock prices reflect short-term persistence differences more strongly than longterm persistence differences. These findings suggest that investors understand persistence of accrual types during the y...
متن کاملAre Accruals Profits Illusory to Informed Traders?∗
We find that accruals mispricing is more pronounced for stocks with higher level of probability of informed trading (PIN). We interpret it as the evidence of informed traders using their proprietary information on accruals quality to trade against average investors. The informed traders’ arbitrage generates an annualized size and book-to-market adjusted abnormal return of 19.81% over the 1993-2...
متن کاملInvestor Sentiment , Institutional Investors and the Accrual Anomaly : An Empirical Analysis of China ' s Listed Companies
The accrual anomaly is a phenomenon that investors gain future abnormal returns through accruals-based hedge portfolios. This paper first shows that China's institutional investors have a better understanding of the persistence of accounting accruals and they more accurately assess stock prices, and that an accrual-based hedge portfolio yields smaller future abnormal returns for firms with high...
متن کامل